2009年2月10日 星期二

Long/Short pair: Long Sohu/ Short Ctrip

This is a logical prediction, but keep in mind that stock market is not logical. So all these may be BS.


Long SOHU:

Internet portal is less affected by economic slowdown. Online advertisement is still a cheap way to promote products.
Online game division is growing and also not affected much by economy.
P/E of 10 is not demanding.

Short Ctrip:

Less flights for business, less flights for tourism = Online air ticket agent will suffer
More airlines sell online themselves, become competitors.
P/E of over 20 is excessive.

Both stocks are listed in the US, and are Chinese internet stocks, sector and market risk is thus mitigated.

2 則留言:

匿名 提到...

You certainly look more like a fund man to me than a business manager.. haha...all you say look logical... some quite interesting

DW 提到...

Well, this trade is losing money as of Feb 11 to now. But I did not really execute it luckily. I know this is not going to work as logical as I think.